Nate Silver

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How Much Is Senate Fight Worth to Coleman?
How Much Is Senate Fight Worth to Coleman?
Analysis
Apr 14, 2009 12:00 PM CDT

How Much Is Senate Fight Worth to Coleman?

Numbers don't add up in improbable challenge: Silver

(Newser) - Norm Coleman’s chances of victory are so thin they’ve entered “Calista Flockhart territory,” yet he shows no sign of winding down his expensive legal battle, writes Nate Silver, the stat guru behind FiveThirtyEight.com. Just how expensive? Silver estimates that Coleman’s spending about $20,740...

Who Wins the Midterms? Obama's Ratings Will Tell All

(Newser) - Forget the old saw that the state of the economy dictates who wins in midterm elections. There are too many exceptions. The better predictor is presidential popularity, writes Nate Silver in Esquire. The correlation between a president's Gallup rating immediately before the midterms and his party's performance is "very...

Woes Won't Sour Obama Numbers ... Yet

(Newser) - If Barack Obama is lucky, and the predictions of most economists indicate he will be, the US economy will emerge from recession long before the populace expects it to, Nate Silver writes on FiveThirtyEight. And “it will be quite some time yet before the public pins most of the...

Obama's Agenda Tilts Left&mdash;If He Can Pay for It
Obama's
Agenda Tilts Left—If He Can Pay for It
analysis
Nov 25, 2008 8:17 PM CST

Obama's Agenda Tilts Left—If He Can Pay for It

Tax-cut fight may define his first year

(Newser) - Will Obama be a progressive president or more of a centrist? Stop looking at Cabinet picks, suggests Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com, and look instead to the president-elect's website. Silver went through Obama's policies and charted them on the political spectrum. The result tilts strongly left on domestic policy, less...

Silver Predicts 27-Vote Recount Victory for Franken

If you believe the statistics, Minnesota's getting a Democratic senator

(Newser) - If you believe in the math, get ready to welcome the new Democratic senator from Minnesota: Statistics guru Nate Silver, on FiveThirtyEight.com, predicts a 27-vote Al Franken victory. The numbers get a bit tricky, but it all hinges on a strong trend toward Franken picking up votes from Norm...

State Job Isn't Guarantee She Succeeds Obama: Silver

Staying out of Obama administration, popular or not, seems better role

(Newser) - Hillary Clinton is a contender to be Barack Obama’s Secretary of State, but taking the job probably wouldn’t help her if she wants to succeed Obama in 2016, Nate Silver writes on FiveThirtyEight. Being part of a popular Democratic administration certainly wouldn’t hurt, but it would be...

Polling Guru Nabs $700K Book Deal
Polling Guru Nabs $700K Book Deal
Nov 15, 2008 11:58 AM CST

Polling Guru Nabs $700K Book Deal

Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight fame will write two tomes

(Newser) - Polling expert Nate Silver, the statistical mastermind behind FiveThirtyEight.com, has a new number to crunch: $700,000. That’s roughly how much Silver will net in his new two-book deal with Penguin, the New York Observer reports. Silver will pen one tome on the art of prediction, and a...

Polls: Obama Widens National Lead

Democrat opens up 5.8 point lead over John McCain

(Newser) - In the final hours, Barack Obama's national lead in the polls is still inching up, writes Nate Silver at Fivethirtyeight.com, to 5.8 points by late last night from 5.4 earlier in the afternoon. Silver's analysis of the latest polls also predicts that Obama stands to win more...

John McCain, Here's How You Can Still Win This Election

Forget about Pa.; focus on Virginia, Florida, FiveThirtyEight says

(Newser) - John McCain, the polls aren’t looking good and your running mate is being accused of going “rogue,” but Nate Silver has some advice on how you can still eke out a victory. “No razzle-dazzle here,” Silver writes for FiveThirtyEight, “McCain simply has to pick...

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