polls

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2 Polls Show RNC Cut Into Biden's Lead

Trump still trails, but gap is down to 6 points

(Newser) - The highly anticipated "convention bounce" has been fading in recent election cycles. And anyway, the New York Times reports, polls usually show voters soon return to where they were. But President Trump has received a bounce this time that he can bask in: Two polls taken as the Republican...

What New Polls Say Ahead of Conventions
What New Polls Say 
Ahead of Conventions
the rundown
Aug 17, 2020 7:37 AM CDT

What New Polls Say Ahead of Conventions

Biden still leads, but race appears to be tightening

(Newser) - With the Democratic convention this week and the Republican convention next week, Election 2020 is about to enter crunch time. Three new polls show that Joe Biden still leads President Trump, though one of those polls in particular shows the race tightening substantially. Details:
  • Tighter: The network Trump loves to
...

Roughly 100 Days Away: Where the Election Stands
Republicans in Danger
of Losing Senate
the rundown
Jul 24, 2020 1:36 PM CDT

Republicans in Danger of Losing Senate

Cook Political Report also shifts Florida from toss-up to 'leans Democratic'

(Newser) - This weekend marks the point where the US will start counting down the last 100 days to the election. So where do things stand? An analysis at the Cook Political Report finds that, as of now, things are looking grim for Republicans. Not only does Joe Biden have a sizable...

Battleground States Are Tilting Toward Biden

He's up in 6 states Trump carried in 2016, and by double digits in some of them

(Newser) - The latest polls haven't been good news for President Trump, and a new one from the New York Times and Siena College has a particularly rough takeaway for his campaign: Joe Biden is leading in six pivotal battleground states. The survey, taken June 8-18, has Biden up in Michigan...

Yes, Biden Leads Polls, but Another Stat Is Key

Nate Silver: Swing-state margins suggest Trump could win Electoral College, if polls tighten

(Newser) - The respected stats site FiveThirtyEight.com is out with its first batch of polling averages for the presidential election, and it's good news for Joe Biden—at least on the surface. Biden is up 50.5% to 41.3% nationally, and he also leads in nearly all the swing...

Poll Shows Biden With Big Lead in a Big State

Survey has him up by 16 points in Michigan

(Newser) - Two new polls in the 2020 election were drawing attention Tuesday, and both were good news for Joe Biden:
  • Michigan: An EPIC-MRA poll shows Biden up by 16 points in Michigan, reports the Detroit Free Press . The survey ran from May 31 to June 4 and captured public sentiment after
...

New Polls Signal Trouble for Trump
Poll Sees
Big Problem
for Trump
With Women
the rundown
Jun 8, 2020 10:25 AM CDT

Poll Sees Big Problem for Trump With Women

NBC calls it a widening 'canyon'

(Newser) - A spate of new polls, some public, some internal, suggest trouble for President Trump's 2020 campaign. One in particular sees a growing problem with his support among women. The details:
  • CNN: The latest poll from CNN has Joe Biden up by 14 points overall, 55% to 41%. Last month,
...

Poll Shows Trump and Biden Running Close

President's support for November lags approval rating

(Newser) - With his approval rating at a high point , President Trump is now running nearly even with Vice President Joe Biden among voters in a new poll. As the pandemic has worsened, the president has erased most of last month's 7-point gap between the two, the Washington Post reports. Biden'...

A Big First for Bernie as Iowa Caucuses Loom

Sanders leads other candidates in new poll out of the Hawkeye State

(Newser) - When Bernie Sanders had a heart attack in October, whispers started that it was the beginning of the end of the Vermont senator's campaign for the Oval Office. Tell that to the people of Iowa, where Sanders, for the first time, took the lead there among all Democratic candidates...

Just Under the Wire, a 6th Debate Contender

Tom Steyer will join Biden, Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Sanders, and Warren on Tuesday

(Newser) - And then there were six. On Thursday morning, just Joe Biden, Pete Buttigieg, Amy Klobuchar, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren had met polling and fundraising requirements to participate in Tuesday's Democratic debate in Iowa. By Thursday evening, there was a new entry : businessman Tom Steyer, who Politico notes was...

Biden Drops, Buttigieg Surges in Latest Iowa Poll

Ex-VP is now at 18%, Warren at 17%, and Buttigieg at 13%; Harris, Sanders in single digits

(Newser) - A lot can change in four months, and new polling in Iowa suggests seismic shifts among the ever-changing top tier of Democratic presidential candidates. Per a new Suffolk University/USA Today survey of 500 likely Democratic caucus attendees, it's now a three-way race between Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, and, in...

Polls Get Even Better for Warren
Polls Get Even
Better for
Warren
Sep 25, 2019 10:55 AM CDT

Polls Get Even Better for Warren

Joe Biden bears the brunt

(Newser) - If Joe Biden was concerned to see Elizabeth Warren pull ahead in a recent poll of Iowa , he might now be shaking in his boots. For the first time, the Massachusetts senator leads the former vice president in Quinnipiac University's nationwide poll, out Wednesday, per Politico . Some 27% of...

Trump Campaign Fires Pollsters Over 'Fake Numbers'

The president apparently blew up over internal polling

(Newser) - President Trump's re-election campaign is saying sayonara to some of its own pollsters after their bad-news data leaked in recent days, NBC News reports. Trump denied this week that such polls exist, but now a campaign source says certain internal pollsters are getting the ax. "We are winning...

Results of an Instagram Poll May Have Spurred Tragedy

Malaysian girl apparently killed herself after asking online if she should live or die

(Newser) - A gruesome online poll, with a tragic aftermath. It happened in Malaysia, where a 16-year-old girl decided to survey the masses on whether she should live or die. The Guardian reports that, per police, the teen put up her poll on Instagram, with the comment: "Really Important, Help Me...

We Have a New Dem Frontrunner— by a Lot, per New Poll

Former VP gets 39% of Dems, Democratic-leaning independents, is easy frontrunner

(Newser) - Before he even announced his intent to run for president, Joe Biden found himself in the news for less savory reasons, facing down complaints from women who'd felt uncomfortable by unwelcome hugs, kissing, and touching by him. Now that he's officially in the running, the headlines don't...

Trump's Approval Rating Is Now at Its Highest Ever

Reaches 45%, thanks to sky-high ranking among Republicans

(Newser) - A new poll from the Wall Street Journal and NBC News contains some stats that President Trump might be boasting about soon, but also some warning signs for the White House. The big takeaway is that Trump's overall approval rating has hit an all-time high of 45%—and that...

Supreme Court Scraps Law on What Voters Can Wear

Minnesota barred political messages, but the justices said the rule wasn't specific enough

(Newser) - The Supreme Court has struck down a century-old Minnesota law banning political apparel at polling places. In a 7-2 ruling, the court said the law was written too broadly to be reasonably enforced without violating First Amendment rights, reports Bloomberg . All states regulate political apparel at polling sites, but only...

Moore: If You Don&#39;t Believe in My Character, Don&#39;t Vote for Me
Roy Moore Lashes Out
in Final Campaign Rally
THE RUNDOWN
Dec 12, 2017 6:21 AM CST

Roy Moore Lashes Out in Final Campaign Rally

'One of our attorneys is a Jew,' his wife says

(Newser) - "If you don't believe in my character, don't vote for me," Roy Moore said at a campaign rally on the eve of Tuesday's Senate election in Alabama, once again lashing out at the women who've accused him of sexual misconduct. BuzzFeed describes the rally...

Per One Poll, Trump's Approval Rating Is Up to 50%

But other polls paint a different picture

(Newser) - President Trump retweeted a Drudge Report post Monday morning that announced the commander in chief's approval rating is back up to 50%, with 50% disapproving of his job performance, per a Monday Rasmussen Reports poll. The daily presidential tracking gauge notes that Trump's thumbs-up numbers peaked at 59%...

Why So Many Pollsters Were So Completely Wrong
Why So Many
Pollsters Were So
Completely Wrong
THE RUNDOWN
Nov 9, 2016 12:54 PM CST

Why So Many Pollsters Were So Completely Wrong

Some theories as to where it went off the rails

(Newser) - The prevailing question the morning after Donald Trump's stunning victory is: How did so many get it so wrong? An "absolutely unreal" "Chance of Winning Presidency" graphic on the New York Times' forecasting page Tuesday evening showed Trump ascending from a 20% chance of winning the White...

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