swing states

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Ex-Governor: 'Crazy' GOPers Can't Win Ohio

Nobody but Mitt Romney even stands a chance, Ted Strickland says

(Newser) - As Ohio goes, so goes the nation? Former Democratic Gov. Ted Strickland tells Politico that none of the current Republican candidates can beat President Obama in the state that has picked the winner in 25 out of the last 27 presidential elections. The only one that even stands a chance...

Blue States Dominate, and Purple Gains Ground

Dramatic shift in electorate favors liberals: poll

(Newser) - Blue states are far bluer than red states are red, says a new Gallup poll. Party registrations favor Democrats—they lead by 10 or more percentage points in 29 states and the DC, compared to four states where Republicans dominate—suggesting that Dems can expand on ther gains they made...

Politico's Play-by-Play Guide to Game Time Tonight

(Newser) - At 5 tonight, a wave of exit-polling results will be distributed to media insiders, who'll try manfully to resist sharing anything that might prejudice voters—even though it will kill them. At 6 pm, the results will start rolling in, and Politico gives you a play-by-play guide to what to...

Nader, Barr Could Still Tip Some Tight Races

Third-party candidates could play a role in some states

(Newser) - Third-party candidates haven’t won much attention in this election, but in some hotly contested states their candidacies could still affect the outcome, the Boston Globe reports. Independent Ralph Nader and Libertarian Bob Barr could play a role in Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Missouri, and Ohio, among others, the paper reports—...

No, Matt Drudge, the McCain Gap Isn't Closing
No, Matt Drudge, the
McCain Gap Isn't Closing
ANALYSIS
Oct 31, 2008 7:31 AM CDT

No, Matt Drudge, the McCain Gap Isn't Closing

FiveThirtyEight's Silver smacks down "tightening polls" narrative

(Newser) - Calm down, writes Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight.com. There's no need to panic over a couple of polls, trumpeted by Drudge, showing the race tightening. “Man, I thought I trained you guys better than this,” he notes. One, the Mason-Dixon poll, shows Obama up by only 4 in...

Is McCain Closing the Gap? Not Fast Enough: Silver

Republican picking up little to no ground

(Newser) - John McCain isn’t moving up on Barack Obama in the polls—at least not fast enough to be significant, writes statistics guru Nate Silver at his blog FiveThirtyEight.com. The Republican appears to be about six or seven points back. While he’s picked up maybe a point in...

In Pivotal Virginia, Lawsuit and Dirty Politics Surface

(Newser) - The election is heating up in Virginia, with fake notices and lawsuits flying around the swing state. The majority black region of Hampton Roads has been blanketed with official-seeming fliers falsely stating that Democrats are to vote November 5, Talking Points Memo reports. And the NAACP has sued the state,...

Amish Could Give McCain Crucial Swing-State Support

Many members of sect, concentrated in Ohio, Pa., voted Bush in '04

(Newser) - With John McCain now focused on winning Ohio, Indiana and Pennsylvania, he could get help from a group that has traditionally avoided politics: the Amish. When they do vote, Amish are thought to be 100% Republican because of their views on abortion, Benjamin Sarlin writes in the Daily Beast; George...

Obama Pushes Don't-Let-Up 'Closing Argument'

'We are one week away from changing America,' Dem says in Ohio

(Newser) - Barack Obama warned voters today against acting as if he’s already won the election, urging them not to “let up for one day, one minute, or one second in this last week,” CNN reports. Speaking in Canton, Ohio, Obama charged that 4 more years of “Bush-McCain”...

Candidates Bombard Swing States With Radio Ads

Campaigns like low cost, lower accountability

(Newser) - Although conventional radio may seem obsolete, it is an important tool of the presidential campaigns this year, USA Today reports. Political advertising is flooding the airwaves in battleground states as the campaigns take advantage of the cost: $500 to $600 per airing for a 30-second spot in Northern Virginia, compared...

Raise Your Hand If You're Sick of the Election

Voters suffering from 'electoral exhaustion,' especially in swing states

(Newser) - News flash: Voters are getting sick of hearing about the election. With just eight days to go the battleground states are weary with campaign fatigue, particularly in places like Iowa, where the candidates have made a total of 263 stops. "People are fed up with it, and maybe they...

Obama Takes Big Leads in Big Ten Country: Polls

Crucial Midwestern battlegrounds show sizable advantages for Democrat

(Newser) - Barack Obama enjoys sizable leads in crucial Midwestern states, a Big Ten Battleground poll shows. Across Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Indiana, Illinois, Wisconsin, Iowa, and Minnesota—home to the universities in the Big Ten Conference and key battlegrounds in previous elections—Obama leads John McCain by margins of at least 10%.

Hillary, Obama Blitz Fla. for Early Votes

Clinton, Obama take to the stage together as Dems battle to flip the Sunshine State

(Newser) - Hillary Clinton threw herself into the battle for Florida as early voters packed polling places yesterday, the Washington Post reports. Barack Obama, pulling out all stops in an effort to flip the state to the Democratic side, led a crowd of 50,000 in chants of "Hil-lar-y" as the...

Democrats See On-Edge Exurbs as Election Key
Democrats See On-Edge Exurbs as Election Key
ANALYSIS
Oct 20, 2008 10:38 AM CDT

Democrats See On-Edge Exurbs as Election Key

Economic unease, shifting demographics sap GOP strength

(Newser) - Economic anxiety may give Democrats a chance to advance into traditionally Republican outer suburbs this year, the Washington Post reports. In many key states, especially Virginia, the downturn and housing-market meltdown have severed the outer edges of metropolitan areas from the GOP. Largely centrist voters in exurban Virginia have driven...

Violent Muslim DVD Seen as Stealth Attack on Obama

28 million DVDs inserted into newspapers in key battleground states

(Newser) - A DVD on Muslims packed with violence and inserted into newspapers in key swing states is being viewed as a not-so-subtle attack on Barack Obama, reports CNN. Entitled Obsession, the production appears to capitalize on erroneous impressions that the Democratic candidate is Muslim and may be soft on terrorism. Some...

Ohio Must Check Voter Registrations: Court

GOP wins fight to have new registrations cross-checked with government info

(Newser) - A federal appeals court has sided with the GOP and ordered Ohio to set up a computer system by Friday to verify new voter registrations, the Cincinnati Enquirer reports. Registrations must now be cross-checked with other government information. Ohio's secretary of state, accused of partisan bias by Republicans, had argued...

Face Time Pays Big for Obama in Battlegrounds
Face Time Pays Big for Obama in Battlegrounds
ANALYSIS
Oct 13, 2008 9:09 AM CDT

Face Time Pays Big for Obama in Battlegrounds

Dem and surrogates pound pavement, outhustle GOP

(Newser) - One reason for Barack Obama’s lead in the polls: He and his surrogates have simply outhustled the Republicans, the Wall Street Journal reports. Obama, wife Michelle, and running mate Joe Biden have had 95 swing-state appearances since Sept. 5, to 55 for their Republican counterparts. Personal appearances like these...

Obama Sways Ohio Swing Votes, Door by Door

Impromptu canvassing before debate prep wins over neighbors

(Newser) - Barack Obama made an unannounced tour through an Ohio neighborhood yesterday, knocking on doors and talking to voters in the crucial swing state, reports the Toledo Blade. Surprised residents took the opportunity to talk policy and snap photos with the candidate, and several undecided voters said they were won over...

Blue-Collar White Women Shift to Obama

Economic worries overcome key group's reservations about Obama

(Newser) - America's "Jane Sixpacks" are leaning toward the Democratic ticket in growing numbers, the Wall Street Journal reports. White, working-class women voters make up nearly a quarter of the electorate, and polls are finding that the economic crisis is convincing more voters in this vital group to back Barack Obama,...

Florida Vote Could Hinge on Youth, for a Change

The domain of the retirees has growing, active young voter bloc

(Newser) - Florida is used to being the center of attention in election years, but senior centers and condo complexes no longer wield all the power. The swing state may have reached the point where its under-30 residents can tip the balance to Barack Obama, reports Time. Florida’s population is actually...

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